Blind wine tasting in NY: was asked to guess the country of origin. "Tastes Lebanese". Confidence? "99%". What guess did I write? California. Why? There are >1000 time more Cal than Leb wines in NY. Likewise, incompetence is more frequent than evil, so first assume stupidity. https://t.co/nmsyYZ1qXE
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) Aug 15, 2021
via Twitter https://twitter.com/nntaleb
August 16, 2021 at 02:22AM
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